FIG. 06 · DESKS

Four national desks and the EU layer

Radical-right standing and the next national contest, by desk, as of August 2026.
TREND · ILLUSTRATIVE NEXT NATIONAL CONTEST
FRANCE RN 32.0% FRANCE: illustrative eight-quarter trend FRANCE: illustrative eight-quarter trend. Illustrative. Values: 24, 25, 27, 26, 29, 30, 31, 32 Presidential, with legislatives following APR 2027
ITALY FDI 27.0% ITALY: illustrative eight-quarter trend ITALY: illustrative eight-quarter trend. Illustrative. Values: 26, 28, 29, 28, 28, 27, 27, 27 General election BY 22 DEC 2027
GERMANY AFD 27.0% GERMANY: illustrative eight-quarter trend GERMANY: illustrative eight-quarter trend. Illustrative. Values: 14, 16, 19, 22, 24, 26, 27, 27 Bundestag; Saxony-Anhalt and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern first BY 25 MAR 2029
SPAIN VOX 17.5% SPAIN: illustrative eight-quarter trend SPAIN: illustrative eight-quarter trend. Illustrative. Values: 15, 16, 15, 17, 16, 17, 17, 17.5 General election BY AUG 2027
EU — — — European Parliament 2029

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Trend column is illustrative and synthetic. France is a first-round presidential figure. Germany also polls ~39–40% in Saxony-Anhalt (Länder, Sept 2026).

Source: Interlink programme proposal 2027–2029. As of August 2026 · indicative.